DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect DeVonta Smith to earn 7.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
After averaging 77.0 air yards per game last year, DeVonta Smith has been rising this year, now sitting at 92.0 per game.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
DeVonta Smith's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, totaling 5.84 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.37 rate last year.
This year, the anemic Washington Commanders defense has conceded a colossal 202.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 53.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
DeVonta Smith's 22.0% Target% this season marks a noteable drop-off in his passing attack usage over last season's 27.1% figure.
DeVonta Smith's 48.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 69.0 figure.

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