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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.40 seconds per snap.

In this game, DeVonta Smith is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.6 targets.

After accumulating 77.0 air yards per game last year, DeVonta Smith has seen a big uptick this year, now sitting at 83.0 per game.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.

DeVonta Smith's skills in grinding out extra yardage have gotten better this season, notching 7.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 4.37 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.6 per game) this year.

DeVonta Smith's 53.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 62.0.

DeVonta Smith has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (48.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

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