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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 99.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

In this week's contest, DeVonta Smith is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.5 targets.

DeVonta Smith has notched many more air yards this season (91.0 per game) than he did last season (77.0 per game).

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

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