DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 1:50 AM UTC

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
DeVonta Smith has run a route on 96.9% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to total 7.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
DeVonta Smith has compiled far fewer air yards this season (80.0 per game) than he did last season (92.0 per game).
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wide receivers this year, allowing 7.56 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.

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