My Account Log Out

reorder

DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 96.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to total 7.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a big 17-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 48.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

DeVonta Smith has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).

The New York Giants pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs this year, conceding 7.89 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the league.

The New York Giants have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™