DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
DeVonta Smith has been among the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 59.0 yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
DeVonta Smith has accrued far fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).

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