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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a running game script for the Dolphins, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dolphins to run on 51.9% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Devon Achane's 46.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows an impressive regression in his rushing skills over last year's 69.0 figure.

Devon Achane's running effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a mere 3.80 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.36 figure last year.

Devon Achane has been less successful in grinding out extra ground yardage this season, totaling 2.64 yards-after-contact compared to a 4.94 mark last season.

The Browns linebackers project as the best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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