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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • After comprising 31.2% of his team's run game usage last year, Devon Achane has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for 45.9%.
  • The 49ers safeties profile as the 24th-worst group of safeties in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 4th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • Devon Achane's 42.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a noteable decline in his running skills over last season's 69.0 figure.
  • Devon Achane's running effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling just 3.58 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.35 figure last season.
  • Devon Achane's 2.74 yards-after-contact this season indicates a significant diminishment in his rushing ability over last season's 4.94 mark.

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