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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.

With a 42.1% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most run-oriented team in the NFL has been the Miami Dolphins.

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.

In this week's game, Devon Achane is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 16.0 carries.

The projections expect Devon Achane to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack in this contest (58.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (43.1% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Devon Achane's 43.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a remarkable decline in his running prowess over last year's 69.0 figure.

Devon Achane's ground effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a measly 3.75 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.36 rate last season.

Devon Achane has struggled more with generating extra running yardage this season, notching 2.92 yards-after-contact compared to a 4.94 figure last season.

The Jets linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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