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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-165/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a giant 13-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The predictive model expects Devon Achane to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (45.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.8% in games he has played).

The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.

Devon Achane's running efficiency (11.85 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (100th percentile among running backs).

Opposing squads have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) against the Giants defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 6th-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.12 seconds per snap.

The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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