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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive 14-point favorite in this game.

The Miami O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.

Devon Achane has picked up 118.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in football when it comes to RBs (100th percentile).

Devon Achane's ground efficiency (12.47 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (99th percentile among RBs).

With a terrific tally of 7.42 yards after contact (99th percentile), Devon Achane places among the powerful running backs in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 6th-least run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 35.6% run rate.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 53.3 per game on average).

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Las Vegas's DE corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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