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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.

In this week's game, Devon Achane is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.9 targets.

Devon Achane's 23.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 18.5.

Devon Achane's 4.8 adjusted receptions per game this season shows a substantial growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 2.5 rate.

Devon Achane's 92.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a noteable progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 75.7% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.

The Dolphins rank as the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The Jets linebackers project as the 10th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

More Devon Achane Player Props

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