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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Devon Achane has gone out for more passes this year (57.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (43.4%).

In this contest, Devon Achane is forecasted by the model to place in the 99th percentile among RBs with 5.8 targets.

Devon Achane's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, totaling 4.6 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.5 last year.

Devon Achane's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 75.7% to 94.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This year, the daunting New England Patriots defense has surrendered a measly 82.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.

More Devon Achane Player Props

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