Devon Achane Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Devon Achane

NFL · Player Props

Devon Achane

RB · Miami Dolphins

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+132/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.4% pass rate.
Devon Achane has run a route on 40.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
The predictive model expects Devon Achane to accrue 2.9 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
The Raiders safeties project as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive 14-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 53.3 per game on average).

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