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Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.Devon Achane's 59.5% Route% this season shows an impressive improvement in his passing attack workload over last season's 43.4% mark.Our trusted projections expect Devon Achane to garner 6.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.In regards to air yards, Devon Achane grades out in the lowly 23rd percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -2.0 per game.This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has conceded a puny 74.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the best rate in the NFL.This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a mere 5.1 yards.The Houston defensive ends grade out as the 6th-best DE corps in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
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