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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run on 46.1% of their chances: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Devon Achane's 54.1% snap rate this season illustrates a significant boost in his offensive usage over last season's 41.2% mark.
  • The Cardinals safeties project as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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