Devin Singletary Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive blueprint to tilt 1.3% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 9th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.4% run rate.
In this game, Devin Singletary is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 98th percentile among running backs with 18.6 rush attempts.
The predictive model expects Devin Singletary to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (69.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (27.6% in games he has played).
This year, the strong Bengals run defense has allowed a meager 4.91 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 28th-lowest rate in football.

Favors Under

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.
The projections expect the Texans to run the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Texans O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.
Devin Singletary has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).
Devin Singletary's running effectiveness has tailed off this season, totaling a measly 3.63 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.84 rate last season.

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