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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive blueprint to tilt 1.3% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
  • The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 9th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.4% run rate.
  • In this game, Devin Singletary is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 98th percentile among running backs with 18.6 rush attempts.
  • The predictive model expects Devin Singletary to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (69.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (27.6% in games he has played).
  • This year, the strong Bengals run defense has allowed a meager 4.91 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 28th-lowest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect the Texans to run the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Texans O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.
  • Devin Singletary has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).
  • Devin Singletary's running effectiveness has tailed off this season, totaling a measly 3.63 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.84 rate last season.

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