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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to total 12.6 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 5th-most yards in the NFL (141 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
  • The Green Bay Packers linebackers rank as the 7th-worst LB corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Devin Singletary has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 69.9% of snaps vs just 57.9% last year.

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