Devin Singletary Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Devin Singletary has been given 50.7% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 34.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
Devin Singletary has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 85 per game) against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.