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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Devin Singletary has picked up 55.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in football among RBs (76th percentile).
  • The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this week (41.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.4% in games he has played).

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