Devin Singletary Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (+104/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Devin Singletary has picked up 53.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among running backs (76th percentile).

Favors Under

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 29.4% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (37.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.9% in games he has played).
The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
The New York Jets defense boasts the 5th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 4.21 yards-per-carry.

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