Devin Singletary Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-104/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.46 seconds per snap.
The Cleveland Browns defense has produced the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding 5.31 yards-per-carry.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 34.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Devin Singletary has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 71.1% of snaps compared to just 57.9% last season.
The Buffalo Bills O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

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