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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+135/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -171 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -184.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 4th-least run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% red zone run rate.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Devin Singletary has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among running backs (1st percentile).
  • The New York Jets defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best DT corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.
  • The New York Jets have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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