My Account Log Out
 
 
Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+162/-226).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -226.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game near the goal line this week (51.2% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.5% in games he has played).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-most touchdowns in the league (1.00 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
  • The Green Bay Packers linebackers rank as the 7th-worst LB corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 35.9% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Devin Singletary has rushed for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among running backs (1st percentile).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™