Devin Singletary Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing TD

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Devin Singletary Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Devin Singletary has received 41.7% of his team's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least run-heavy team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 36.3% red zone run rate.
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
Devin Singletary has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among running backs (1st percentile).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-least touchdowns in the league (0.60 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

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