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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Devin Singletary has received 41.7% of his team's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
  • The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least run-heavy team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 36.3% red zone run rate.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
  • Devin Singletary has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among running backs (1st percentile).
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-least touchdowns in the league (0.60 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

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