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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Devin Singletary Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+165/-215).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.3 plays per game.

Devin Singletary has rushed for 0.35 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (80th percentile).

The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 39.0% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game near the goal line this week (27.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (41.7% in games he has played).

Opposing squads have run for the 10th-least TDs in the league (0.83 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.

The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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