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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+169/-241).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -207 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -241.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Devin Singletary has been given 38.7% of his offense's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
  • The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 5th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 38.7% red zone run rate.
  • Devin Singletary has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among running backs (1st percentile).
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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