Devin Singletary Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Houston Texans

Receptions

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-208).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -208.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

Favors Under

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
At the present time, the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Texans.
Devin Singletary's 3.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 13.5.
Devin Singletary's 0.8 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a a noteworthy decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 2.4 figure.
This year, the stout Saints defense has allowed a mere 76.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 9th-lowest rate in football.

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