My Account Log Out
 
 
Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.7% pass rate.
  • Devin Singletary has been among the best RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 2.5 receptions per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (85.2%) versus RBs this year (85.2%).
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line has given their QB 2.72 seconds before the pass (4th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
  • Devin Singletary has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, playing on 67.3% of snaps compared to just 56.1% last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™