Devin Singletary Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
The Denver Broncos defense has been gouged for the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (41.0) versus RBs this year.
This year, the weak Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing running backs: a staggering 7.77 YAC.
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
The predictive model expects the Texans to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Devin Singletary's 44.9% Route% this year conveys a noteworthy decline in his air attack usage over last year's 56.0% mark.
Devin Singletary has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
Devin Singletary's receiving effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging just 5.22 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.21 figure last year.

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