Devin Singletary Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 6:01 PM EST

Analysis

Devin Singletary Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 71.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Devin Singletary has run a route on 60.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to earn 2.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (72.3%) vs. RBs this year (72.3%).
The New York Jets pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus RBs this year, giving up 5.05 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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