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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 70.6% pass rate.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Devin Singletary has totaled substantially more receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (14.0).
  • Devin Singletary's pass-game effectiveness has improved this season, totaling 6.28 yards-per-target compared to just 4.88 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.77 seconds per snap.
  • Devin Singletary has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 68.0% of snaps compared to just 56.1% last season.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.72 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

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