Devin Singletary Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.3% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to accumulate 3.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
Devin Singletary has totaled a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Favors Under

The Bills are a massive 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 29.23 seconds per snap.
Devin Singletary has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 71.2% of snaps vs just 57.9% last season.
The Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 27.0) to RBs this year.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.52 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in football.