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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Devin Singletary Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+404/-867).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +434 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +404.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in football.

Devin Singletary has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% this year, which ranks him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Devin Singletary's 16.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 82nd percentile for running backs.

Devin Singletary's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Completion% increasing from 82.4% to 91.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 9th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More Devin Singletary Player Props

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