Devin Singletary Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Houston Texans

Carries

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
The Houston Texans have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.0 plays per game.
Devin Singletary has garnered 41.2% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
The Broncos defensive tackles rank as the 5th-worst DT corps in football this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Texans to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league last year.

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