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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 44.1% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have played in the 5th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense performance when facing windier conditions this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Texans are a giant 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be much less involved in his team's running game this week (21.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (44.9% in games he has played).
  • The Houston Texans O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 5th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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