Devin Singletary Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to notch 11.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this week (43.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.5% in games he has played).
The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
The New York Jets defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best DT corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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