Devin Singletary Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Devin Singletary has been given 50.7% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 34.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

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