Devin Singletary Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Buffalo Bills have run the 4th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Devin Singletary has earned 47.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends project as the 6th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box versus opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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