Devin Singletary Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game this week (40.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.2% in games he has played).
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.

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