Devin Singletary Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Devin Singletary

NFL · Player Props

Devin Singletary

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 3, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this week (41.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.4% in games he has played).

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