My Account Log Out

reorder

Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills

Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The Chicago Bears defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the least run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 29.3% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this week (39.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.8% in games he has played).

The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.

More Devin Singletary Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™