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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Devin Singletary Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+114/-157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -157.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 29.4% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Devin Singletary to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (37.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.9% in games he has played).

The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

The New York Jets defensive tackles profile as the 8th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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