Devin Duvernay Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/-101).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Duvernay has been a much bigger part of his team's passing offense this year (14.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (8.0%).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Devin Duvernay's receiving talent has gotten better this season, compiling 3.1 yards per game vs just 2.1 last season.
Devin Duvernay has been among the best possession receivers in the league, catching an impressive 77.9% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.3%) to wide receivers this year (68.3%).

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in the league.

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