Devin Duvernay Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+127/-172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +131 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be a more important option in his offense's pass game this week (18.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (11.8% in games he has played).
Devin Duvernay's receiving performance has improved this year, totaling 3.1 yards per game compared to a measly 2.1 last year.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has given their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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