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Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.3 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense this week (14.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (8.3% in games he has played).
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Devin Duvernay has been among the best possession receivers in football, hauling in a terrific 82.2% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
  • The New England Patriots defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.7%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.7%).
  • The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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