Devin Duvernay Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense this week (14.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (8.3% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has been among the best possession receivers in football, hauling in a terrific 82.2% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
The New England Patriots defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.7%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.7%).
The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.