Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-108/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Duvernay has been a much bigger part of his team's passing offense this year (14.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (8.0%).
Devin Duvernay has posted far more air yards this season (55.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has totaled substantially more receiving yards per game (45.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).
Devin Duvernay has been among the best possession receivers in the league, catching an impressive 77.9% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in the league.

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