Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be a more important option in his offense's pass game this week (18.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (11.8% in games he has played).
Devin Duvernay has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus WRs this year, allowing 7.87 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.

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