Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+110/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a terrific 82.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among WRs.
The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 5th-worst paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.87 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed the least receiving yards per game in football (just 115.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.