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Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-487).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +399 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +280.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Devin Duvernay has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 17.1% this year, which ranks in the 78th percentile among wideouts.

Devin Duvernay has totaled significantly more air yards this season (52.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).

Devin Duvernay's 36.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 16.1.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60%) to wideouts this year (60.0%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 4th-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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