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Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-487).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +399 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Devin Duvernay has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 17.1% this year, which ranks in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
  • Devin Duvernay has totaled significantly more air yards this season (52.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
  • Devin Duvernay's 36.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 16.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60%) to wideouts this year (60.0%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 4th-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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